SAFE PASSING 101

Showing posts with label UCI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UCI. Show all posts

Monday, April 15, 2013

Cycling News Summary of Doping ! " From pinpricks to the Biological Passport "!

Occasionally an item as worthwhile as this Cycling News Article appears ! For me the back story of   "Doping " has been a "Moveable Feast "! Throughout my riding the Grand Tour routes from 1998 , i have become aware that " ALL WAS NOT ROSY IN CYCLING SPORT "!

Follows is the Cycling News Article , in full , make of it what you will :

  "  From pin-pricks to the Biological Passport
Judicial investigations and non-analytical evidence today compliment drug testing and are increasingly coming to the fore in the prosecution of doping cases. Testing, however, remains the key weapon in the anti-doping armoury, with a multi-million Euro budget set aside for it every year. Here Feargal McKay takes a look at the way the testing regime has evolved over the last half-century, particularly with a view to cycling.
From pin-pricks to the Passport
Anti-doping tests in cycling began in 1964, at the Tokyo Olympics. Following the death of Knud Enemark Jensen at the previous Olympiad, Pierre Dumas (the Tour de France's doctor) and Maurice Herzog (the French minister for health) had lobbied the UCI and been granted permission to carry out 'health checks' ahead of the hundred kilometre time trial at the Olympics. While some urine samples were collected, Dumas and Herzog were principally concerned with checking riders' bodies for evidence of recent injections. If pin-pricks were found, the riders were simply asked what they had taken and who had administered it.
Over the next couple of years, the anti-doping landscape changed radically. The French and Belgian governments enacted legislation to ban the use of stimulants in sport and began to put some stick about. The Belgians carried out searches at Gent-Wevelgem in 1965, the French at the following year's Tour. These moves effectively forced sport in general to wake up and confront a problem international federations and the Olympic movement had, at best, merely been paying lip service to. Faced with the choice of introducing official, systematic testing of their own or ceding turf to national governments, sport decided to fight the good fight against doping.
Direct Testing
Initially, the only substances that were banned were those that could be tested for. This was principally substances like cocaine, strychnine and amphetamines (although in the case of the latter there were many individual amphetamine-based products that went without a test for several years). Whole classes of drugs – principally steroids – went unbanned until tests could be developed (the first steroid tests didn't arrive until the mid seventies). This attitude changed in the 1980s when the IOC were forced to ban blood transfusions without being able to test for them. Culturally, this is an important point to bear in mind insofar as it has helped inculcate a belief among some athletes and their entourage that if a substance can't be tested for then it isn't doping, a view that has survived in some through to the present day.
At first testing was about finding traces of banned substances in urine samples. Trace evidence of the use of most drugs leaves the system quickly, meaning that the testers generally have a pretty narrow window of opportunity to spot it. But the use of such direct testing methods became even more problematic once substances that were natural to the human body entered the doping armoury. In the early 1980s indirect testing entered the picture, as a way of catching the illegal use of testosterone.
Indirect Testing
Rather than proving the use of testosterone by testing directly for it, Manfred Donike et al (in their paper 'The detection of exogenous testosterone', 1983) proposed that testers should measure the level of testosterone compared to epitestosterone. The human body naturally produces the two in an easy to measure ratio – typically one-to-one – and dosing up on testosterone throws that ratio out of kilter. By setting population limits for what the T/E ratio should be the testers were indirectly able to identify the use of testosterone.
The use of population limits, however, is problematic. Trying to get experts to agree on a fair and equitable population limit is difficult. Initially the T/E ratio was set at 6/1. Over the years this was allowed rise to 10/1 before falling back to 6/1 and is now set at 4/1. We have also seen, with the haematocrit/haemoglobin tests introduced in the 1990s by the UCI and the FIS, that setting a population limit – eg in cycling that of 50% haematocrit for men, 47% for women – can effectively allow doping up to that level.
Indirect testing doesn't have to rely on population limits for its effectiveness. It can also look at the levels of individual biomarkers. In ordinary medicine biomarkers have long been a way of diagnosing disease: levels of cholesterol in blood are indicative of heart disease, for example. In 1987, Bo Berglund published a scientific paper – 'Detection of autologous blood-transfusions in cross-country skiers' – in which he proposed using the levels of the hormone EPO as a way of spotting the use of a blood transfusion. Extracting blood causes the body to increase the levels of EPO in an effort to ramp-up production of red blood cells and replace those extracted. Re-infusing blood causes the opposite to happen as fewer new red blood cells are needed. By measuring the levels of EPO between two tests, taken a week or so apart, Berglund figured that transfusions could easily be spotted.
Unfortunately for Berglund and his team, 1987 was the cusp of the era of EPO doping, effectively negating the value of any test based on measuring levels of EPO. The proposed test is nonetheless interesting, regardless of its applicability, for as well as using indirect testing, by comparing the differences between two samples Berglund was pushing open the door to longitudinal analysis. Berglund's test was also somewhat novel in that it relied on a mix of in-competition and out-of-competition testing.
Out-of-Competition Testing
OOC testing had been in use for a decade or so at that stage, with Norwegian authorities having begun carrying out OOC tests on their athletes in 1977. Before then all testing had been done in-competition, despite authorities being fully aware of the value of doping as a training aid as well as a competition aid. In 1982 FISA, rowing's governing body, became the first international federation to approve the use of out-of-competition testing on its members, introducing short-notice OOC testing. By the end of the 1980s the use of OOC testing was widespread across a range of sports.
The effectiveness of early OOC testing was limited by a number of factors. Even after international federations came on board, some national federations were more lacklustre than others in implementing the procedure. But, for OOC testing to work, it requires a degree of co-operation among national federations in order to carry out testing on each others athletes when they train abroad. To combat this problem, in 1990 the IAAF introduced an anti-doping flying-squad, who could go anywhere and test anyone. The effectiveness of OOC testing was also limited by advance warning been given of tests: it wasn't until the 1990s that unannounced OOC testing became the norm.
The biggest problem with OOC testing, though, was knowing where athletes were in order to test them. Up to the era of WADA and the advent of the wherabouts module of ADAMS – the online Anti-Doping Administration Management System – effective OOC testing was pretty much limited to off-days during national and world championships. For the rest of the year testers could turn up at training camps or at athletes' homes, but an athlete not being available to them didn't matter much. By the late 1990s the OOC testing system was so inefficient that testers were completing fewer than half of their testing missions because of athlete unavailability. In the early 2000s USADA were first to implement a proper wherabouts system and to introduce to the three-strikes rule, under which multiple missed tests resulted in a sanctionable offence. In cycling, this didn't happen until 2006, with dire consequences for Michael Rasmussen the following year.
Wherabouts information is key to carrying out OOC tests. But, in an age of data protection laws, the collection of such information is under threat. With the rise of social media European Union authorities are taking a hard look at existing data protection laws and some of the changes proposed may challenge the ability of sports federations to collect wherabouts information and transfer it between one and other. At a WADA Executive Committee meeting held last year Pat McQuaid likened the proposed legislative changes to criminals getting the support of the EU to close down Interpol. WADA President John Fahey agreed that, without amendment, the proposed EU legislation would destroy WADA's capacity to fight doping in Europe in any real sense.
Blood Testing
Another major change in the way anti-doping tests are conducted was the advent of blood testing. From the introduction of doping controls in the 1960s cheaters have found ways around urine-based controls, from secreting containers of urine about their person to injecting clean urine into their bladders. In 1988 the ski federation, FIS, led the way with blood testing with the IOC coming on board for the Lillehammer Winter Olympics in 1992. Cycling followed suit in 1994. But even when following orders from the IOC the UCI was somewhat reluctant to adopt blood testing. Speaking in January 1997 Hein Verbruggen noted that "It must be made clear that our anti-drug commission has always been against blood test controls because of ethical problems." Other federations, of course, have been even more reluctant to collect blood samples and simply don’t bother.
Retrospective Testing
Testing took another new turn in 1999 with the promise of retrospective re-testing of stored samples. The previous year, after a decade of trying to sweep the EPO problem under the carpet, cycling authorities were forced to confront the issue of blood doping. Fortunately, after years of searching and false promises, an EPO test was on the horizon and set to be rolled out at the Sydney Olympics in 2000. In response to persistent criticism in the media and from the likes of Gérard Dine and the ASO, the UCI promised to put all samples from the 1999 Tour on ice and re-analyse them once the EPO test had been validated. When, in 2001, cycling introduced the EPO test ahead of the Classics season, the UCI giddily proclaimed that "the monster has been vanquished. Success at last!" They then promptly forgot their promise to re-test the 1999 Tour's samples.
One reason for this may have been that the UCI thought they had legal issues with re-testing. Certainly the 2006Vrijman report into the re-testing of stored samples from the 1999 Tour de France for research purposes challenged the use of retrospective testing. Vrijman noted that there were neither rules nor procedures for the conducting of such tests and pointed out that existing rules required that doping control forms be destroyed after two years (while the samples they identified could be stored for eight). He also questioned the reliability of tests on stored samples insofar as detection methods had been validated on samples collected only a short time before testing. According to Vrijman, it was "simply irresponsible" to suggest that disciplinary procedures could be initiated on the basis of such tests and "the spectre of meaningful retrospective testing that could yield lawful sanctions against athletes remains nothing more than an empty threat."
Retrospective testing had been used in the past, such as when the T/E test came in, but only to establish the scale of the problem and not to initiate disciplinary procedures against individuals. As a means of bringing charges, retrospective testing has – despite the concerns expressed by Vrijman – been used successfully in more recent years. Ahead of the London Olympics WADA turned the clock back to 2004 and decided to re-test a small number of the remaining stored samples, before the statute of limitation rules kicked in and they got flushed down the drain. That resulted in an additional five violations being identified. The IAAF recently completed retrospective testing of samples from 2005, resulting in six new violations being identified and five medals having to be reallocated. The IAAF also bumped three athletes from the London Games after re-testing samples from 2011 ahead of the Olympics.
The key issue surrounding retrospective testing appears to be inconsistencies on how long samples are stored for: some, from the Olympics or the Tour, might be stored for the full eight years of the statute of limitations, while others are flushed within months. Storage is an expensive proposition and the money simply isn’t there to store everything.
Probably the bigger issue though is authorities blowing hot and cold on the issue of retrospective testing: at the one moment trying to talk it up as a way of scaring people into refraining from doping while at the other too scared to really use it for fear of what it will reveal. Within cycling, as a means of picking off individuals the UCI seems happy to use retrospective testing in certain individual cases – as they did in the case of Thomas Dekker – but as a means of policing the entire peloton it is a tool the UCI appears unwilling to use.
Longitudinal Testing
In 1999, in response to the Festina scandal of the year before, French authorities – lead by Gérard Dine – introduced quarterly health checks as a way of combating the doping problem. Like the haemeatocrit/haemoglobin tests introduced a few years earlier, these were technically not doping tests and riders who failed them could only be 'rested' on health grounds. But by comparing data between one health check and another – longitudinally – the authorities were at least able to use the threat of temporary suspension to encourage French riders to reduce their doping. The problem, though, was that this was applicable only to French riders. And then not even all French riders: Laurent Jalabert and Richard Virenque simply moved abroad to avoid having to submit themselves to the health checks.
The idea of longitudinal testing had been around for some time at this stage – Bo Berglund, as we've seen, had tried using a version of it in 1987 – and interest in it grew rapidly through the early years of the new century. In 2003 Malcoveti et at published 'Hematologic passport for athletes competing in endurance sports: a feasibility study.' By 2007 Berglund and others in Sweden had come up with a Passport project while Peierre-Edourad Sottas and others at the Lausanne laboratory had begun working on a forensic approach to the interpretation of biomarkers (indirect testing) and using Bayesian statistics to interpret haematological values.
Initially the private sector was able to adapt to the new possibilities quicker than sports federations, with independent anti-doping programmes being offered to cycling teams by the likes of ACE and Rasmus Damsgaard. For various reasons these found a number of willing clients: by the end of 2006 Bjarne Riis, Bob Stapleton and Jonathan Vaughters were all using independent testing in their teams. Within a year the UCI announced the introduction of the Biological Passport.
The Athlete Biological Passport
In theory, the Athlete Biological Passport is the crowning glory of half a century of advances in drug testing. Individually, each of the components of the testing regime that have been developed over the last five decades have weaknesses which hamper their effectiveness. But taken collectively, in the form of the ABP, the impact of those weaknesses is lessened. Longitudinal indirect testing of blood and urine samples collected in- and out-of-competition allow profiles to be created for each individual athlete and from those profiles individual thresholds established. Profiles that fall outside of these individual limits get flagged as potential anti-doping violations. Other profiles can get flagged for ether retrospective testing of stored samples for particular substances, or individuals can be identified for targeted testing. The Passport thus becomes a means to collect all available information on one individual and, based on an analysis of that data, identify the most appropriate tool to use if doping is suspected.
That, at least, is the theory. Practice and theory differ somewhat, though. The most obvious difference is that the version of the Passport that exists today is incomplete. A complete Passport should be capable of spotting both steroid-based doping and oxygen vector doping. At present the ABP is capable only of spotting the latter: the steroid profile is still under development. FIFA – one of two federations to become recent high-profile adopters of the Passport principle – have promised to have the steroid profile up and running when they introduce the Passport in 2014. But the UCI have been promising the arrival of the steroid profile since 2007.
A fully-functioning ABP will still not be foolproof. Fifty years of history has shown that those who choose to dope adapt to their changing environment. As a minimum, though, a functioning ABP holds out the promise of being able to control the levels of doping and level the playing field somewhat for those who want to compete clean. And, implemented properly, the ABP does offer those federations that wish to really root out doping the opportunity to use the information it produces to target those most likely to have committed an offence. If the will is there to use it properly, the Passport can be a powerful weapon in the anti-doping armoury.

Added ,
Recent reports indicate that " Athletes " have already found ways & means to defeat the " ABP "!

Friday, January 18, 2013

LANCE APOLOGY ? A BUST !

Glad i slept through , as everything i have seen on the TV Networks and read in the various Blogs , confirm my decision ! So far , all i see , is a rehash of what was in the public forum , before i went to sleep last night . Can Lance really believe , that what he has revealed with Oprah , will encourage ANYONE to sympathise with him ? Yes , i know , this was the first of two instalments , but , was there a " teaser " to encourage people to return for the second instalment ?


., you can find out whether (and on what channel) you get Oprah’s network at the handy OWN channel finder:


With Fatcyclist tweeting , that he would do a " Blow by blow report " , last night , i was able to read through both his ongoing relevations and comments , as well as the comments by his cast of regular readers . For me , this was a useful tool , in helping me to understand the News Clips i saw on CNN World Sport , BBC World News and Sky News . Thanks to Fatty , i feel as though , imissed NOTHING !

http://www.fatcyclist.com/2013/01/17/hey-lets-watch-some-oprah-together-tonight/comment-page-2/#comment-581718

Sponsors are important , Sport needs them to survive , yet most say that OWN's sponsors , shown during this " Hugely Publicised Event " , were second tier Sponsors ! This alone , says a lot , about what Sponsors think , about what Lance now represents for Sponsors ! With the lack of relevations of Co-conspirators , Lance demonstrated his Contempt for those viewing . Even Non Cycling Sport viewers realise , that the Racers have support staff ! With so many Racers revealing their " misdeeds " at the USADA inquiry , people are aware , that they were supplied with Product . Saying Lance was their Supplier caused ALL to expect , that Lance would reveal those who were Upstream in the Supply Chain . He did not duck into a pharmacy and ask them to pass across the counter , the PEDs used by the team , did he ?

Many people have tweeted their opinions on Lance , most were disappointed with the interview , for a variety of reasons :


"Was it possible to win without doping?" Armstrong: "I didn't invent the culture, but I didn't try to stop the culture."  disgrace

  1. The more I think about Betsy, the more sympathy I feel for her. She's waited almost ten years to hear him say she didn't lie and he refuses.
  2. When he said he was behaving like a jerk during those years, I thought 'Lance, I could have told you that back then.'
The more I think about the interview, the more conscious I become of the evasions and non-answers. His truth will come dropping slowly.


 : Not sure what your emotions are today Walshy but as I haven't seen you for a while your work is a triumph of perseverance.

Tomorrow's hour better be about how he smeared 


 "  The test of Armstrong’s newly-found disgust of his bullying and cheating behaviour will come when or if he is prepared to face journalists with a modicum of reporting integrity. Armstrong needs to reveal the facts of his behaviour and not some confected inner feelings of supposed guilt.
He can start paying journalists like David Walsh a monetary compensation of at least double what he brazenly took from The Sunday Times, together with whatever token apology he care to make.
This is a case where money – Armstrong’s money – will speak more loudly than any Oprah contrived confession."
Lance has shown his ability to Act , in a way that defeated most Journalists . This Oprah Event , seems to follow the same pattern . I for one will not lose sleep tonight , waiting on relevations , that i am more certain , will not be forthcoming .
In " Parrabuddy.blogspot " , yesterday , i addressed a letter to Jacques Rogge , outlining many issues , of which i am sure , he is already aware ! Had Lance chosen to reveal some of his knowledge , relating to these people and their activities , then there might be reason , to believe that his confessions , were relevant ! As of now , there is nothing , other than confirmation , of the speculation that the Cycling circles have entertained since 1999 ! 

Lance , during the Interview , you said this to Oprah , who knew no better :

  "  My ruthless desire to win at all costs served me well on the bike but the level it went to, for whatever reason, is a flaw. That desire, that attitude, that arrogance."

Those like myself , and of course others that follow the events in which you participated , know what Mike Ashenden , has reported in a variety of Articles and venues ! Link to just one , here :

  "  http://velonews.competitor.com/2012/10/news/must-read-ashenden-says-armstrong-showed-signs-of-blood-doping-in-2009-tour-de-france_256351

With this report in the Public Domain , it is very easy to contradict , the following statement , you made to Oprah , in relation to YOUR Alleged Doping activities , after your return to competition in 2009  :

"That's the only thing in that whole Usada report that really upset me,"

No doubt , this is an area that you need to address , when under OATH ! 
Racers such as Christophe Bassoon ( DNF the 1999 Le Tour after Harrassment ) , " Simeone ( excluded from the " Giro d'Italia , when Italian National Champ ) and others , have been defrauded of their opportunities . Journalists of the Calibre of David Walsh & Paul Kimmage , have been sued and bullied ! Ladies such as Emma O'Reilly & Betsy Andreu , have had their names dragged through the Mud ! Friends such as Frankie Andreu have been discarded .
ALL FOR WHAT ? To preserve a facade of LIES ! 
LANCE , you have made your Family and Friends even more ASHAMED of you , than they were , before you appeared on Oprah's show !

Even the Women Racers have an opinion on Lance ! With her retirement this week , Nicole Cooke released a Statement , regarding her Career . She was plain speaking about a few matters , including her views about CHEATS ! Here are some of her thoughts :
 This  section is telling :
 "  Jeanson states, like all the others, she is “repentant” and all that is behind her. All these "born again" champions of a clean sport. They could be more accurately described as criminals who stole other's livelihoods who are only ever genuinely sorry about one thing - they are very sorry they were caught."

Even Lance gets a mention :
 "   When Lance “cries” on Oprah later this week and she passes him a tissue, spare a thought for all of those genuine people who walked away with no reward – just shattered dreams. Each one of them is worth a thousand Lances."

Well Lance , you were responsible for many heartbreaks , how do you feel about being " Dumped on ",  now , by a CHAMPION Female Racer ?

http://www.nicolecooke.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=section&layout=blog&id=1&Itemid=18
UNLESS you appear before the " UCIIC Inquiry ", and reveal , ALL those associated with provision of , and financing of the  PED products , that YOU and the Teams used since 1993 , there is NO POINT in your appearing in Public  EVER AGAIN !
Paul Kimmage tweeted that he has booked you an Airline  seat to that " UCIIC Inquiry " , you can surely , be humble enough to accept the " Tourist Class seat " provided ?
Reveal your knowledge of UCI , Tailwind and Sponsors activities , in relation to Financing , PED Supply and other nefarious activities , and THEN , and ONLY then , can you venture onto the path to Redemption .

USADA have asked you to repeat UNDER OATH , your knowledge of ALL that you have revealed in the Show , as well as MORE !

 Travis Tygart is quoted here :    "If he's sincere in his desire to correct past mistakes, he will testify under oath about the full extent of his doping activities,"  ALSO  "Lance Armstrong finally acknowledged that his cycling career was built on a powerful combination of doping and deceit," ALSO "His admission that he doped throughout his career is a small step in the right direction."

John Fahey of WADA , has this to say :  "He was wrong, he cheated and there was no excuse for what he did," said the Wada chief. "If he was looking for redemption, he didn't succeed in getting that."
ALSO   "My feeling after watching the interview is that he indicated that he probably would not have got caught if he hadn't returned to the sport," he added.
Continue reading the main story
He cheated and there was no excuse for what he did. If he was looking for redemption, he didn't succeed in getting that
John FaheyPresident, World Anti-Doping Agency
"He didn't name names, he didn't say who supplied him, what officials were involved."
Pat Mc Quaid , in my opinion , breathing a sigh of relief said :  "Armstrong has confirmed there was no collusion or conspiracy between the UCI and Lance Armstrong. There were no positive tests which were covered up and he has confirmed that the donations made to the UCI were to assist in the fight against doping.
"Finally, we note that Lance Armstrong expressed a wish to participate in a truth and reconciliation process, which we would welcome."
LiveSTRONG , had this to say :  
"We at the Livestrong Foundation are disappointed by the news that Lance Armstrong misled people during and after his cycling career, including us," and   "Even in the wake of our disappointment, we also express our gratitude to Lance as a survivor for the drive, devotion and spirit he brought to serving cancer patients and the entire cancer community."

Oprah's Show , instalment 1 , was a bust , lets hope , those that visit instalment 2 , are not wasting their valuable time ! Not the only one thinking this either !

Sounds like all the Europeans who stayed up so late to watch Oprah were treated to a repeat episode from the past


FOOL ME once, shame on YOU , Fool me Twice , SHAME ON ME !

NB Links to Narrative of the Interview :

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/cycling/21065539     Interview

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/cycling/21072339     USADA request



Thursday, January 10, 2013

Lance Armstrong ! Some advice !


My Letter to LANCE !
Delivered by a Tweet , hope he decides to read :


Lance ,

  "  Through the many years that i have been riding the routes of the Pro World Cycling Tours, i have had mixed responses from you . Mostly they appear to have been favourable .I have treated ALL Racers in the same way , with a certain amount of respect , regardless of misgivings as to their proberty in respect of any  " Doping/PED usage "! It would have been foolish of me to treat " Vinkie " in a bad way , since his No 1 Mechanic , for any number of years , was always " Helpful to me " , whenever i needed advice or assistance . In fact the British Mechanic , Alan , on your teams at different times , was friendly and helpful . Craig , the Kiwi mechanic , with you at Astana , now with Orica / GreenEDGE , is another example . So many Teams have had their Record " Blotched " by the " Less than Honest Behaviours " of their Racers . Many of the Team Support Staff , are fully aware of the situation they find themselves with , the alternative is to leave , and HOPE , they find employment elsewhere . How can they be certain , that it is not , jumping out of the frying pan , into the FIRE !  Media Reports , suggest , you were less than kind , to some of your Support Staff , let alone those that raced with you !

You may recall that in Monaco , " Le Tour Grand Depart of 2009 " , i asked you to have your Team Members carry " LiveSTRONG Wristbands , in their pockets and pass them to any people in wheelchairs , beside the barriers , as they went to the " Sign on podium ".  I repeated this request , when riding with you before the start of the  Rotterdam Grand Depart , 2010 . Both of these occasions resulted in me being on TV and on front page of various Newspapers . Of course , my story , is so old now , that Journos take no interest in reminding theeir readers or viewers of my interest in Assisting " Para Athletes "! As you have told Journos in front of the Crillion Hotel in Paris , i seem to ride more milage than you , each year , certainly a thankless task !

I can think of several people , that have been inspired by your efforts , over the years in respect of LiveSTRONG .  @8 wristbandman was with me in Monaco and Jesolo , having fought cancer , successfully for several years , he is still supporting you , regardless of the mud that besplatters you in recent times !  39stoneman , is another that has continued , to blog his support in recent times .

Since the " USADA Reasoned Report " people have been trying to put distance , between their actions in past years and your current morass of difficulty ! An example of this can be found in a Tweet i received recently ! Mike Rann , like others , saw you as an opportunity to further their interests . No doubt as a Politician , he relied on his Staff to guide him ? With that advice he went along with the opportunity to " Publicise " the Tour Down Under " start in 2009 . Only You , will know , how easy it was to arrange an " Appearance Fee " , and where these monies were deposited ! You will be aware that most people THOUGHT , that this money was going to " LiveSTRONG "! Where it actually was banked has led to a huge amount of Speculation ! Perhaps , one of your mistakes , was  creating a " LiveSTRONG.com ( Personal Business ) " , marketed alongside the " LiveSTRONG.org ( Charity Org. ) " , ALL your detractors , have honed in on this facit of your affairs , rightly or wrongly ?  Mike Rann's tweet to me :
 " Mike Rann ‏@Mlke_Rann
@skippydetour Please dont mention my name and that man in the same sentence again... I'm trying to distance myself from any connection!

Friends like this , who needs enemies ?

Social Media has been of benefit to you over the years , not only Twitter , which at one time , was more tham 4.2Million followers , but other platforms in which you invested . Currently , there are a few Tweet addresses , asking people to use the " Unfollow " facility . Time will tell , how effective they will become ?

When it was confirmed that Oprah , would be interviewing you , in your home , many hopped on the " Bandwagon " with their views as to how and under what terms this " Interview " would be conducted ! Speculation is " Rife " , about the reasoning , leading to this interview . Personally i have mooted the possibility of a reoccurance of " Health Issues " ? Most are of the view that the 1996 Cancers , were the result of the " Cocktail of PED Products " , that you are accused of using ! Suffice to say , most are of an opinion , that this is about " Lance " , not about a Genuine Desire  to rectify past errors of Judgement ! The following link refers to a " Baseball Player " and his " Confession ":

http://www.nytimes.com/2005/02/11/sports/baseball/11giambi.html?_r=1&

This is an example that you should not follow , you will find yourself in a " Firestorm " , should you take this course .

Far be it for me to offer you advice , considering the amounts you spend , to retain the best professionals in every respect , needed to preserve your previous " Good Name "! With reports of your Assets being in excess of $125M , it is possible that you are getting good results , from your investment in their endeavours . Very hard to put oneself , in your shoes , and decide , if ALL your decisions , since the return to Road Racing in 2009 , were beneficial to your and your family's wellbeing .

Not having access to the Oprah Winfrey Network , i guess , i will see segments in Sky News and on CNN Sport programmes . Whatever takes place , ONLY a full disclosure of the relevant facts , will satisfy ANY of the Viewers ! People like " Jaime Fuller of " Change Cycling Now " and; Skins.inc " have voiced their concerns as to what you plan to do :
 http://watercooler.skins.net/blog/2013/01/08/hey-lance-if-youre-going-to-confess-you-better-do-it-right/#comment-235
 Reading his Blog Post , reveals GOOD Advice , no doubt , you will have another perspective ?

No doubt , you are aware of " Phat Mc Quaid "  losing his WADA Executive status , he claims that he was on the Executive since 2009 , Heinous , currently , has not repeated his " NEVER , Never , etc " remarks , regarding your friendship , doubt he will sleep easy , until after you appear on the " O Show "!

In the past , you have had regiments of Journos , following you at the various Cycling Tours , eager to earn Plaudits , for a different " Spin " , on your remarks , NOW , they will be like Pirannas , endeavouring to draw " Blood " ! You will lose  , regardless of how " Honest " your part of the " Interview " turns out !

Since first posting this Letter to you , the following from David Walsh has appeared in the Media , both in the U.K. and in the Chicago Tribune :

https://twitter.com/lioneljbirnie/status/290156457746395137/photo/1

Many of these questions have been posed to you over the years , so they will not surprise you ?

Sincere disclosure only , please ! The outcomes and their results are hard to predict . In past Blog Posts i have described you as either a " Saint or Sinner " depending on a Person's point of View !

Choose a path that helps your family , they will have to live with YOUR CHOICE !

Their Welfare is YOUR RESPONSIBILITY !

Ciao
Skippy

NB   Should you not follow blogs in Europe , here are a few comments worthy of consideration :



  "  Difficult not to think this will be a highly manipulative interview by Armstrong portraying himself as a victim and martyr, only doing what others were doing (as the Lance-apologist photographer Graham Watson was saying in his blog a few days ago, which apparently met with Armstrong's approval).

  "  Being interviewed at home in Texas will also give Armstrong an opportunity to create just the right surroundings to say what he wants to say to an American audience which I suspect will be a lot more sympathetic to his case than people over here.


  "  That would indeed be ace. It's like a train crash, it's perverse to watch but not sure I'll be able to help it. Although the early-hours slot might take care of that for me.

  "  Funny, the last half dozen Lance stories have lacked any rabid fanboys telling everyone else how brilliant he is... wonder why that is?!


  "  He won't confess to anything at all. I predict that the phrase "maybe I've made some mistakes" will be used, perhaps "I'm not an angel", and similar.


  "  Then they'll talk about all his charity work, how many people he's inspired to take up cycling, and a million people who care about the sport will combust.


  "  The guys at RedKitePrayer.com had a good analysis of this nonsense. Anything Lance does is completely self serving because his cashflow has come to an abrupt halt. He doesn't travel on Livestrong's dime any more. He doesn't get paid to all of the things he normally does. Padrag even floated the idea that it's politically motivated so he can run for office in Texas.

Go away Lance!

  "  I think I did a little sick in my mouth, pass the bucket there's more

  "  Now, if Dame Edna had been doing the interview that would have been different

  "  You guys are all dicks... I bet if you were in his shoes you'd do the same thing. If I was on the brink of death and survived and had a chance to come back and start over, I'd do the same thing. I'd be all in, no half assing, you're either with me or against me, cause life is too short to f*** around.

Saturday Evening , i came across the " Guardian Newspaper " offering  , which may be worth consideration :


THE OBSERVER'S 10-STEP PATH TO REDEMPTION

1. Observe an injured, even dignified, silence. Give nothing away.
2. Express televised contrition, ideally to a popular host.
3. Involve your wife/partner in 1. and 2.
4. Apologise to everyone, but don't confess.
5. Suffer a life-threatening illness.
6. Write a book; write three books.
7. Smile through your tears; be brave.
8. Mobilise the support of influential friends and allies.
9. Turn to prayer; find a priest; talk about confession, but keep the details private.
10. Keep Buggering On.

Some of these points , i am sure you have already considered ?